Guelph is rated at $1.40 with TAB Fixed Odds, the shortest favourite for the fillies classic in more than 30 years. Picture: Mark Evans Source: Mark Evans / DailyTelegraph
THE final call on whether super filly Guelph runs in the Cox Plate is likely to rest with owner, Sheikh Mohammed.
If Guelph wins the fourth Group 1 of her career in the $500,000 Thousand Guineas (1600m) at Caulfield tomorrow, the Darley team will consider whether to extend her spring campaign to include the Cox Plate.
"If she wins the Guineas in really good style we will leave the decision up to Sheikh Mohammed," Darley's Henry Plumptre said.
"We will give him the parameters and let him make the decision."
Trainer Peter Snowden and jockey Kerrin McEvoy, who combined to win the Caulfield Guineas last Saturday with Long John, join forces again with Guelph.
With only eight opponents in the Thousand Guineas, bookies won't hear of Guelph being beaten as she is rated at $1.40 with TAB Fixed Odds, the shortest favourite for the fillies classic in more than 30 years.
Champion fillies Alinghi (2004) and Atlantic Jewel (2011) were $1.70 favourites when they scored easy wins in the race. The main Thousand Guineas news includes:
GUELPH has drawn barrier five in the nine-horse field.
SNOWDEN is attempting to become the first trainer to complete the Caulfield Guineas-Thousand Guineas double since Bart Cummings with Alfa and Dashing Eagle in 1996.
McEVOY can complete the Guineas double last achieved by Steven King on Helenus and Macedon Lady in 2002.
DAMIEN Oliver is chasing a record sixth Thousand Guineas on outsider Worldplay.
Although Guelph seems poised to Flight Stakes-Thousand Guineas double, a feat most recently achieved by Dashing Eagle in 1996, it still may not be enough to sway the Sheikh to send his filly into the nation's weight-for-age championship at Moonee Valley on October 26.
The most damning statistic is that only one filly has won a Cox Plate - Surround in 1976 - but it is more than that, as Plumptre explained.
"The weight-for-age horses this year are above average," he said.
"You take Atlantic Jewel, Puissance De Lune, Super Cool, It's A Dundeel, Fiorente - they look a very classy group of horses.
"Plus Guelph had a tough autumn. She was ready for the Blue Diamond, had a brief let-up, and then ran all the way through the Sydney autumn in the Golden Slipper, Sires and Champagne.
"You can go to the well too often."
Guelph will be lining up for her fourth start this spring in the Thousand Guineas but trainer Peter Snowden is already on record saying after tomorrow's race he believes the filly has "done her job" this spring.
Plumptre said the expectation is that Guelph will remain in Snowden's care at least for the rest of this season.
"At the moment we are planning on training her right through to the end of next autumn," Plumptre said.
"There are no plans for her to go overseas until the end of her three-year-old career."
Guelph notches up another impressive win. Picture: Mark Evans Source: The Sunday Telegraph
THOUSAND GUINEAS (1600m)
Wednesday 3.40pm (3YO fillies)
1 _ X211 Guelph (5) K McEvoy 55.5 $1.40
2 _ 1151 Gregers (2) C Schofield (a) 55.5 $10
3 _ X133 Bound For Earth (7) J B McDonald 55.5 $11
4 _ 4161 Se Sauver (4) Damian Lane 55.5 $15
5 _ 1X31 May's Dream (3) Nicholas Hall 55.5 $8.50
6 _ X348 Godiva Rock (9) D Dunn 55.5 $31
7 _ 1184 Miracle To Me (8) Chris Symons 55.5 $41
8 _ 2125 Wordplay (6) D Oliver 55.5 $15
9 _ 2X37 Gypsy Diamond (1) B Prebble 55.5 $41
Odds: TAB
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