SuperCoach Formguide: Hop on Roos for run home

Written By Unknown on Kamis, 19 Juni 2014 | 18.49

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NORTH Melbourne has been as inconsistent as out-of-season peach prices in 2014.

One week, Brad Scott's men are producing some of the gutsiest, most buccaneering victories in the club's recent history. The next, they are dropping games to sides of a similar level to them.

The club's supporters must be as frustrated as a jockey with a yoyo.

But don't despair North fans. The immediate future looks bright.

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While your team's inconsistency has you questioning whether you are good enough to play finals, the Roos' run home is, statistically, the easiest of any AFL side.

North, which sits comfortably in seventh spot on the ladder with a 7-5 record, plays eight sides currently in the bottom 10 from its remaining 10 matches. Its only two matches against top eight sides are against Hawthorn (Round 16) and Geelong (Round 19).

And generally, the lower a team is on the ladder, the more scoreboard points and SuperCoach points it is likely to concede.

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So over the next few weeks, it might be worthwhile jumping on a few Roos as they embark on this easy run home.

Make Brent "Benjamin Button" Harvey a priority. He is averaging 112 points this season, including 122 from his past five games.

He may be 36, but Boomer is still picking opposition teams apart while his teammates are constantly looking to bring him into the game. And his forward-midfielder selection flexibility makes him even more of an attractive proposition.

North Melbourne ruckman Todd Goldstein could be about to hit a purple patch. Picture: Michael Klein Source: News Corp Australia

Todd Goldstein is another. The big man has produced two consecutive 100s and could be on the verge of a big second half of the season. Don't miss out!

The Roos also have a few quality midfielders – all of which are owned by less than 2000 coaches – to choose from. Keep an eye on Ben Cunnington, who has averaged 106 points from his past three games, and Levi Greenwood, who has scored over 100 in all of his past five games.

It might also be worth looking at trading in players from Fremantle, which plays seven bottom-10 teams in its remaining 10 games.

Fremantle's David Mundy might be a good unique pick for you. Picture: Daniel Wilkins Source: News Corp Australia

David Mundy, who has scored over 100 points in six of his past eight games, is only owned by just over 5,700 coaches and would be a unique pick. Also consider another distinctive midfielder in Stephen Hill, who averages 113 points from his past four games

And don't miss out on midfielder Anthony Morabito ($123,900) when he returns to the side soon.

If you're looking at players to avoid based on a team's run home, try and sidestep any Carlton players – barring Bryce Gibbs, who is averaging 124 points over the past five rounds as he, ironically, seeks to finalise his contract with Carlton.

While the Blues have been brave against quality opposition over the past fortnight, their run home looks as difficult as solving a rubik's cube for the first time.

Bryce Gibbs is perhaps the only Carlton player you should think about trading in for the rest of the season. Source: Getty Images

Seven of the Blues' final 10 games will be played against teams currently in the top eight. The only finals-bound side they won't play is Hawthorn, who they played this past round.

It might be wise to also avoid any Essendon players – for two reasons.

Firstly, none of us are 100 per cent sure which path Bombers players will take regarding the supplements saga.

Will they waste little time and take a short ban? Will they stick by the club and fight ASADA and the AFL until the death? The longer it drags on, how much influence will it have on their performance?

No matter what the players decide, Essendon has the most difficult run home of any team in the AFL.

Eight of the Bombers' final 10 games will be against teams currently inside the top eight.

You can't go wrong with Collingwood's Scott Pendlebury as your SuperCoach captain this week. Picture: Michael Klein Source: News Corp Australia

CAPTAIN'S CORNER

SCOTT PENDLEBURY (Collingwood) $631,500 mid

Pendles loves the MCG spotlight and loves the playing against the Hawks, averaging 120 from his past three games against the brown and gold. You can't go wrong.

GARY ABLETT (Gold Coast Suns) $670,600 mid

Ablett has had no nerves or troubles facing his old side in recent years, averaging 115 points in his past three games against Geelong.

CALLAN WARD (GWS Giants) $609,900 mid

He's tough, he's influential, but above all, Ward is in ripping SuperCoach form. He's averaged 133 points from his past three games and 124 from his past five. Against the Blues at home, he might be a nice double point of difference.

And one from left-field …

TODD GOLDSTEIN (North Melbourne) $500,700 ruck

The big Roo has torn the Demons to shreds in his past three games against them, averaging a whopping 153 points. Risky, but you'll look like a genius if it comes off.

He might be a little pricey, but Richmond's Anthony Miles will undoubtedly make you cash this week. Source: Getty Images

JUMP ON

ANTHONY MILES (Richmond) $246,000 mid

The former Giant's price will skyrocket this week following scores of 83 and 108. Yes he's not the cheapest downgrade, but if you're looking to offload an underperforming midfielder, Miles – who has a breakeven of -44 – is your man.

STEFAN MARTIN (Brisbane Lions) $242,700 ruck/fwd

Looking to downgrade a ruckman? There is still time to jump on the Lions' No.1 ruckman, who has a breakeven of -69 this week. Will give you incredible value.

JEREMY McGOVERN (West Coast) $213,200 fwd

Like Martin, he still has plenty of cash to make, despite already playing three games this season. The young Eagle has a ridiculously low breakeven of -104 this week. Not too late to jump on.

CHAD WINGARD (Port Adelaide) $390,500 fwd/mid

One of the most discussed players this season is way under the odds. With a breakeven of -29, Wingard will not be any cheaper.

Got Saints skipper Nick Riewoldt? Might be time to say goodbye. Source: Getty Images

JUMP OFF

NICK RIEWOLDT (St Kilda) $378,500 fwd

If you've still got him, you deserve a standing ovation for your patience. But the champion Saint hasn't cracked the ton since Round 5. Most importantly, he doesn't even look like cracking three figures anytime soon.

ALEX FASOLO (Collingwood) $324,000 fwd

He was dropped last weekend and has now been ruled out for three weeks with another foot injury. Fasolo's done his job, so it's time to look elsewhere.

MATT CROUCH (Adelaide) $266,400 mid

Time to drop the young Crow, as his place in Adelaide's side is far from secure. And even if he plays, he'll have to score 92 or more to make you cany cash.

SHAUN HIGGINS (Western Bulldogs) $415,900 fwd

He's been consistent this season – did I just say that? – but it looks like Higgo has hit his peak, suffering his first price drop of 2014 last weekend. With a breakeven of 143 this week, it's time to go, Shaun.

SUPERCOACH FORMGUIDE

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