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Glitz, glamour and a horse race too ... Mischa Barton meets Melbourne Cup winner Brew. Source:News Limited
Who will win the 2012 Melbourne Cup? Foxsports.com.au gives you the mail for the race that stops the nation.
1. Dunaden (Barrier 16) Craig Williams 59kg
2. Americain (12) D Oliver 58kg
3. Jakkalberry (19) Colm O'Donoghue 55.5kg
4. Red Cadeaux (18) M Rodd 55.5kg
5. Winchester (22) J Mott 55.5kg
6. Voila Ici (13) V Duric 55kg
7. Cavalryman (6) L Dettori 54kg
8. Mount Athos (8) Ryan Moore 54kg
9. Sanagas (4) Nicholas Hall 54kg
10. Ethiopia (14) R McLeod 53.5kg
11. Fiorente (2) J B McDonald 53.5kg
12. Galileo's Choice (11) P J Smullen 53.5kg
13. Glencadam Gold (7) Tommy Berry 53.5kg
14. Green Moon (5) B Prebble 53.5kg
15. Maluckyday (9) J A Cassidy 53.5kg
16. Mourayan (3) J Bowman 53.5kg
17. My Quest For Peace (1) C W Brown 53.5kg
18. Niwot (15) D Dunn 53.5kg
19. Tac De Boistron (21) O Dolueze 53.5kg
20. Lights Of Heaven (17) L Nolen 53kg
21. Precedence (20) B Shinn 53kg
22. Unusual Suspect (23) G Schofield 53kg
23. Zabeelionaire (24) C Newitt 52kg
24. Kelinni (10) G Boss 51kg
Trent Hile, Martin Gibbes and Scott Heinrich have burned the midnight oil to pore through the form guide, bringing you their analysis to hopefully steer you into a winner.
Each punter has been in good form this Spring Carnival and we hope their luck can extend just one more meet.
We will bring you all the Melbourne Cup Day news and information from Flemington, as it happens, in Melbourne Cup Live. The blog that stops the nation, featuring the Fox Sports Fiver and all your interactive comments, gets under way at 9.30am (EDT) on Tuesday, November 1.
Trent Hile
It might be one of the most open Cup fields we've seen in years, but one thing is for sure: it'll be dominated by the European horses.
While no horse has ever saluted in the Cup when starting from dreaded barrier 18, I'm backing last year's runner-up Red Cadeaux to defy history.
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He was only beaten by a pimple by Dunaden last year and meets him 2.5 kilos better at the weights (which equates to a couple of lengths), while jockey Michael Rodd believes the horse is fitter and more powerful this time around. Red Cadeaux has only started six times since his nose defeat at Flemington and hasn't finished further back than third. At $9 with the TAB, he's the best each-way bet in the race.
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I've got plenty of time for 2010 winner of the race, Americain, especially with Damien Oliver getting the ride ahead of Gerald Mosse. He finished a gallant fourth in last year's race despite sitting three-wide the trip, then his run in this year's Caulfield Cup suggested he's crying out for the 3200m distance.
Mount Athos is yet to be sighted on Australian soil, but has really impressed since switching to the Luca Cumani stable, carrying big weights to win his past three races by sizeable margins. He gets in lightly at the weights (54kg) and should be prominent at the finish.
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There's no doubting Caufield Cup winner Dunaden is the horse to beat. He won the race last year, is yet to taste defeat on Australian soil and has arguably Australia's best jockey in Craig Williams in the saddle. But he'll have to lump 59kg, meaning he'll need to be roughly four-lengths better than last year. Still, you'd be brave to completely rule him out.
Tips
1 Red Cadeaux
2 Americain
3 Mount Athos
4 Dunaden
Suggested $20 bet: $10 each-way on Red Cadeaux
Best roughie: Mourayan. He's been the forgotten horse of the spring. Was one of the top contenders for last year's race before being scratched on Cup morning. He's down in the weights, lightly raced, should run the trip and is a handy each-way chance at around the $25 mark.
Martin Gibbes
I'm not one to join a bandwagon but it's virtually impossible to tip past the likelihood of an overseas win of some kind at around 3.04pm on Tuesday afternoon.
It's easily the best-credentialed field I've seen and it took some sorting through it to come up with a top tip.
It shouldn't be to anyone's surprise that I've opted for Dunaden. Despite the heavy impost, he looks to have class on this field - and that's saying something, considering the talent on display. His win in the Caulfield Cup was exceptional considering his seemingly hopeless position on the turn, and he looks a better horse, if that's possible, than last year.
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My quinella runner is European as well, just not one of the more favoured ones.
If you are looking for Caulfield Cup run for the future then this five-year-old fills the bill perfectly. My Quest For Peace is an on-pace runner who won't leave the rails from barrier one. As long as he gets a shot at them in the straight, he will be hard to beat.
With all the talk on the European invasion, it's been easy to overlook the chances of local hopes like Ethiopia.
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I've had a soft spot for the Pat Carey-trained gelding ever since his AJC Derby (2400m) win in the autumn and it was hard not to miss the merit of his run in the Cox Plate (2040m). It may only be early in his career but the four-year-old clearly has great potential and the distance doesn't loom as a particular concern.
It's been a disappointing carnival thus far for Gai Waterhouse, but I think she'll earn some minor prizemoney with Fiorente.
Reputedly likes a wet track, which is what is set to confront him on Tuesday, Fiorente has drawn to get a great run and brings to Australia some impressive form in GII company in England and France.
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Tips:
1 Dunaden
2 My Quest For Peace
3 Ethiopia
4 Fiorente
Suggested $20 bet: $10 to win on Dunaden and $10 quinella on Dunaden and My Quest For Peace
Best roughie: Gallieo's Choice looks an underrated overseas contender, especially as he is only carrying 53.5kg. Of the local hopes, Kelinni was very impressive over the weekend.
Scott Heinrich
If Luca Cumani doesn't know by now the type of horse required to win a Melbourne Cup, he never will.
The UK-based Italian trainer has become a regular at Flemington on the first Tuesday in November, running close seconds with Purple Moon in 2007 and Bauer the year after.
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His two entrants this year - Mount Athos and My Quest For Peace - tick the right boxes: unexposed and hence lightly weighted, are in form, well drawn and the anticipated dead ground, by Australian standards, will pose no problems.
My Quest For Peace's effort to run fifth in the Caulfield Cup was excellent considering he settled close to a hot pace and still battled on.
I like him to beat Mount Athos, while last year's runner-up Red Cadeaux has an undeniable chance at the weights. Americain and Dunaden are worthy benchmarks, but weight can stop a train and they are both short enough in the betting.
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Tips:
1. My Quest For Peace
2. Mount Athos
3. Red Cadeaux
4. Americain
Suggested $20 bet: $3.50 each-way on both My Quest For Peace and Mount Athos plus $6 quinella on the Cumani pair.
Best roughie: Green Moon was fancied in the Cox Plate but raced like he wanted more ground at Moonee Valley and should be forgiven that failure. It is not unheard of for horses to flop in that race - Juene and Efficient are recent examples - only to win the Melbourne Cup. The question with Green Moon is will he run two miles?
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